A warrior’s phone

August 27th, 2010 by Tim No comments »
Klingon App

There's an app for that...

Kahless says that Palm’s WebOS is the phone of choice for true Klingon Warriors.  This is evidenced by the recent homebrew app that provides your Palm Pre or Pixi with a true Klingon font as well as a translator to help you write Hab SoSlI’ Quch! in response to your friend calling you a petaQ over SMS.

I’d install this myself, but alas I have no friends both geeky enough and cool enough to have this app and a WebOS phone. I guess that will save Kim some eye rolling though.

Besides, it would cut into my time playing Angry Birds which is surprisingly life consuming—if only because I’m hoping if I ever get to the end of the game, maybe it will tell me what those poor little green pigs ever did to piss off those birds!  They are after all, very very angry, to the point of being suicidal.  Although I guess maybe it’s homicide as you have to launch the birds.  But they volunteer for the duty so there’s still a high level of dysfunctional bird behavior to explain here.

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Excuse me while I pee in my phone

August 25th, 2010 by Tim No comments »
Pee's Electric

Photo by Andy Martin

Chemists are working on two different approaches to generate electricity from urine.  While your pee doesn’t have enormous amounts of pent up energy, you do have enormous amounts of it.  Collectively, humans excrete over 10 billion liters of the stuff every day.

Gerardine Botte, a chemical engineer at Ohio University, is working on using urine to generate hydrogen, which could then be used in conventional hydrogen fuel cells.  The advantage of urine over water is that it requires only 25% of the energy required to liberate the hydrogen from a water molecule as from a molecule of urea.  This makes the process much more energy efficient.

Even more interesting is the work of Shanwen Tao of Heriot-Watt University in Edinburgh, UK.  Tao is developing an electrolytic cell that directly converts urea to electricity.  The power outputs are relatively low so you’re unlikely to power your home with the family toilet anytime soon.  But it is about the right level to power small electronic devices.

If this works out, you may never have to leave the couch again.  Rather than getting up for a potty break, you just whizz in the phone or the remote or the DVR, or whatever is looking low on juice.  Who says the future doesn’t sound exciting?

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Is “Burn a Quran Day” insensitive?

August 21st, 2010 by Tim No comments »
Quran_cover

Photo by crystalina on Wikipedia

Pastor Terry Jones of the Dove World Outreach Center in Florida is planning “Burn a Quran” day to honor the ninth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks.  There is a concern this will spark more than a little outrage from the Muslim community both here and abroad.

Recently I wrote about there seeming to be a general consensus that building the so-called ground zero mosque was legal, but many felt that even so, it was still insensitive of the Muslim community to not take into account the feelings of the 9/11 survivors.  Further, I asserted that the only way for the proposed mosque to be an insult was if someone was prejudiced against all Muslims and holding them accountable for the WTC attacks—a point reinforced by the planned book burning which clearly is blaming all of Islam for 9/11.  Further, are all Christians prepared to take responsibility for the Quran burnings?  If not, then why are all Muslims responsible for 9/11?  Still, several people wrote in response to that article that even if the emotional reaction to the planned construction was irrationally prejudiced, it was still appropriate to consider people’s feelings.

There are a couple of problems with that line of reasoning.  First and foremost is that if hurting the feelings of groups of Americans really mattered, then events like “Burn a Quran Day” would be generating outrage at the level similar to the Manhattan mosque.  But there is barely a peep in the media.  Is this simply too small an event to get noticed?  Gen. David Petraeus doesn’t think so, and has expressed concern that should this go forward it will place his troops in the Middle East at significant risk of reprisal.  Further, can you imagine the outrage from politicians and the media if an imam were planning a “Burn the Bible Day” in Kuwait?

Clearly the issue here is not about respecting the feelings of others in general.  But perhaps it’s not everyone’s feelings who count.  Perhaps the issue is that 9/11 was such a significant physical, emotional, and psychological scar that we owe special deference to the site and to the families and friends of those who died or were injured there.  How then do you reconcile that House Republicans overwhelmingly drove the defeat of the  9/11 health bill.  This fully paid for bill provided medical assistance to 9/11 survivors and their families now suffering aftereffects from the disaster.  Yet the same group that killed this bill is now crowing the loudest about the proposed Muslim Park51 Community Center.

It seems 9/11 is only sacred when it’s politically opportune.  And that perhaps is the key lesson in all this.  “9/11″ is politically powerful.  George Bush was reelected on it in 2004.  Rudy Giuliani’s entire 2008 Presidential bid was based on it.  It has been used as a basis for justifying the Patriot Act, rendition, torture, and other policies and programs that should make freedom loving Americans cringe.

9/11 was the most significant American tragedy of our time.  We should never forget that.  We should honor it, and the men and women who suffered because of it, and continue to suffer.  But there is no honor in using it as a political lever as is being done with the mosque controversy.  And there is no honor in Terry Jones’ plans to burn Qurans.  We’re better than that—at least we profess to be.  It’s time to start acting that way.

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Mosquing your true feelings

August 20th, 2010 by Tim 1 comment »
Muslim-Crescent

Photo by Steve Evans

The ongoing debate over the Islamic Community Center to be built over two blocks from the WTC site in New York City continues to spiral out of control.

While many loud voices are out there claiming such, there can be little defense for opposing the construction of this building in a land whose Constitution guarantees religious freedom, and whose laws support the right of citizens or groups to own property and build on that site within legal building codes and regulations.

What’s more concerning is the number of people who accept that this effort should not be illegal, but are expecting sympathy on the statement that for a Muslim group to construct the center so close to “ground zero” this soon is at least insensitive and in poor taste.  That it is somehow disrespectful to those who died there.

It’s tempting to ask when such a structure wouldn’t be too soon given that 9/11 happened a decade ago.  For perspective, that’s like opposing any notion of Japanese heritage or culture in Hawaii in the mid-1950s.  Or maybe the question is, how close is too close?  There is already a prayer room four blocks away, so it seems that must be okay.  But who decided anything less than four blocks is an insult?  And an insult to whom?  There were Muslims who died in that tragedy as well.  And many 9/11 families have come out in support of the project.  Do we take a vote?  Who gets to vote?  Or is it just that as long as anyone is offended, then this isn’t okay?

Yet putting all those questions aside, the very essence of the notion that anything about this project is remotely insensitive is predicated on equating Islam with terrorism.  Think about that.  There is zero evidence this Muslim group is in any way tied to any terrorist organization.  The imam leading this group, Feisal Abdul Rauf, was vetted and deployed by George Bush to promote America to the Muslim world after 9/11.  Unless you hold that all Muslims are at some level responsible for terrorism, then there is no way for this group or their plans to build a gym, pool, culinary school, prayer room, and meeting center to be a threat or an insult to anyone.

Finding this project insensitive requires that you hold over a billion people responsible for the acts of dozens.  Even if you allow for one million Muslims worldwide to be terrorists, a number that seems pretty darn large, you are holding all of them accountable for the acts of less than 0.1%.

If your child were killed by a person who looked like you, and was part of your culture and religion.  One who claimed he was on a mission from God.  You would hate him and want justice and maybe revenge.  But you wouldn’t then hate the others in his church or in his community because that’s your group too.  You’d have to blame yourself.  Yet when someone different commits an atrocity, it’s all to easy to conflate your hatred for the individual with a hatred for, or fear of, the group as a whole.

Consider that when you talk about this project showing Muslim insensitivity, perhaps what you really mean is that you find them being insensitive to your bigotry.  Then ask yourself if that’s really the position you want to lead with.

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Romney offers economic policy with meat

August 19th, 2010 by Tim No comments »
Mitt_Romney,_2006

Photo by Parachutegurl, cropped by Gridge

Mitt Romney, 2008 and likely 2012 GOP Presidential contender, went a little out on a limb and proposed some substantive and realistic economic policy initiatives.

This is huge in a climate where others in his party have just talked in broad sweeping plans like cutting taxes and spending, or have opted for pushing for dismantling Medicare and significantly altering Social Security benefits in ways that would be politically dead on arrival.

Among his proposals is a plan to permit businesses to write off in 2010 and 2011 the capital investments made in those years rather than over time.  This might well go a long way toward liberating some of the cash corporations are currently hoarding, and could amount to a potent stimulus to the economy.

He also wants to align corporate taxes with those of other developed economies, eliminating special corporate tax breaks that lobbyists have inserted over the years.  That could be a big rise in tax revenue by just plugging holes through intelligent tax reform rather than raising rates.

Further, he’s advocating for adopting an energy policy that will actually eliminate our dependence on OPEC and hostile states.  This is good for jobs, good for the climate, and good for national security.

Of course he still wants to maintain the Bush tax cuts and eliminate the capital gains tax, both of which are party staples.  And he opens with the requisite accusation that almost every action the President has taken has deepened and lengthened the economic downturn.  But that’s pretty tame stuff compared to what other Republican hopefuls are saying.

The key point being there are some actionable ideas here that Obama and the Democrats might be willing to work with the GOP on.  This is a constructive offering, and exactly the sort of thing that politicians should be putting on the table.  However, Romney’s not currently in a position to drive those proposed policies.  So it will come down to others in the GOP side of Congress to pick up on these ideas and push them forward.

Let’s see if anyone wants to play ball…

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Old but ambitious

August 18th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

Man in WalkerI want to have this much spunk when I reach the golden years.  Recently, the Prince George Bank of Nova Scotia was robbed by a 75-year old man.  After securing a small amount of cash from a teller, the man made his getaway.

As reported to police, the suspect “was described as a Caucasian male weighing about 230 pounds. He was wearing a straw hat, white T-shirt, grey jogging pants and dark glasses — and he was using a walker that many rely on for mobility.”

Amazingly, the laid back Canadian Mounties took 45 minutes to capture the man, who had failed to yet make it out of the strip mall in which the bank was located.  Apparently they heard the call come in and finished their donut and coffee before walking from Tim Hortons to the other side of the lot where ther man was toddling along.

They say seniors should stay active…

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NIMBY attitude drives offshore wind farm debate

August 12th, 2010 by Tim No comments »
Off-shore_Wind_Farm_Turbine

Photo by Phil Hollman

Monroe County, NY is one of several locations identified by NYPA, through its Great Lakes Offshore Wind Project, to potentially host an offshore wind farm.  Yet the reception by local communities has been less than welcoming.

In recent weeks the town boards in Greece and Webster have voted unanimously to oppose the authority’s project, and Monroe County legislators have been entertaining their own ban.

While any significant development project has its pros and cons, the ire against offshore wind farms in Lake Ontario seems mostly driven by NIMBY (not in my backyard).  There’s little opposition to wind power in general.  75% of respondents to a Rochester Business Journal poll said they supported it at least somewhat, and a majority strongly supported it.  And why not?  It’s clean, renewable, and cost effective. Further, a $1B project is bound to be a boon to the local economy.

Perhaps most importantly, it lessens our dependence on coal for electricity production.  While coal has a reputation as “cheap fuel”, there are many hidden costs in terms of government subsidies, pollution, and environmental impacts, not to mention the glut of health and safety issues plaguing coal miners.

However, Rochester is a long way from West Virginia.  We don’t see the strip mined hillsides here.  Sure, we still suffer from acid rain, but it’s way better than it was in the 1970′s, and we’re used to it.  Wind turbines are new, potentially local, and might be seen from your house.  This has fostered an understandable sense of fear in lakeside towns, but has also ushered in a groundswell of misinformation.

Conservative Examiner Willard Fox recently wrote about wind power and published “some of the negatives you may not have read about.”  Although in reality, you may not have heard about these “facts” because many of them are untrue or misleading.

For example, while wind power will not eliminate the need for conventional energy sources like coal and nuclear, it does lessen the demand on them.  This means the existing plants burn less non-renewable fuel, and fewer new plants need to be built to meet the ever increasing American appetite for power.  A concern is also levied against the need to build massive electrical storage facilities, which would be nice except that we don’t yet know how to store electricity on an industrial scale.  If we did, wind and solar power would be even more attractive options than they are now.  And concerns about power transmission and its impact on the county’s grid are the same issues that would arise if any power generation facility was built using any technology.  The value of cheap power to the community far outweighs the investment in the power grid.

The more valid concerns are when Fox cites the issues of noise, property values, and simply having to look at the wind farm looming on the lake’s horizon.   He says, “They [the turbines] produce a noise level of a car that is doing over 60 miles per hour.”   This is a good point, but keep in mind the proposal is to build the turbines over two miles offshore.  Would you worry about buying a house two miles from a major highway?  Probably not.  Further, studies have shown wind farms have no long term impact on property values.  Are they an eyesore?  Maybe, but you do get used to things.  Remember when cell towers were going to destroy the landscape?  Now you don’t even notice them.

The bottom line is that the country needs wind power and other forms of green energy.  It has to be located somewhere.  Perhaps it would be better to ask yourself if you’d rather live in the same town as a wind farm or a strip mine, a coal fired power plant, or another nuclear reactor?  Sure, it would be great if we could just make our energy needs some other community’s problem.  But if we’re going to step up to the plate, then a few windmills aren’t looking so bad now are they?

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Proving the negative: Bush v. Obama

August 11th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

President Obama is desperately trying to convince the public his policies prevented a looming depression that would have devastated  our economy.  This is more than an uphill battle because as everyone is saying, you just can’t prove a negative.  That is, you have no way to show what would have happened if you hadn’t done what you did.

On Tuesday’s episode of Countdown with Keith Olbermann, Olbermann offered a special comment on a different topic which contained an interesting insight.  President Bush had great success at proving the negative case that his policies prevented another terrorist attack (clip showing this point below).  Now Olbermann went on to blame others for this (full video available here), but there is a more interesting point to be gleaned.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy


Ignoring the questions of whether Obama actually prevented a depression and whether Bush actually prevented another terrorist attack, let’s examine only the public perception.  The simple fact is, there were no more significant domestic terror incidents while Bush was proving his negative.  Consider instead what would have happened had there continued to be one or two attacks each year, resulting in hundreds of deaths each.  It may well have been that without the Bush policies those attacks would have numbered a dozen a year, but it wouldn’t have mattered.  He never would have sold his story.  He likely never would have gotten reelected.

This is the reason Obama fails to prove his negative on the economy.  Had we bounced in 3 months back to 2007 levels of unemployment and the Dow hit 14,000 again, then he could sell his success story.  But while he may well have prevented devastation, he did not keep us from suffering.  And as long as the pain continues,the public will not accept his proof.

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Is the left-right divide about ideology or rules?

August 11th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

donkey-elephantWhile there is an ideological divide between Conservatives and Progressives, it’s not clear this is the fundamental chasm between the camps.  It may be rooted in their respective worldviews. After all, the end goals of both sides are aligned.  Everyone wants peace, prosperity, health, safety, and a good standard of living for their children.

However, the apparent difference in the paths to get to this end state are misleading.  Stereotypes say Democrats are for big government, social safety nets, and wealth redistribution.  They are pro-union and anti-business.  They are for protecting the environment and personal freedoms.  Meanwhile, the Republicans are all about small government, fiscal austerity, and low taxes.  They are defenders of capitalism and building businesses.  They stand for freedom, morality, and clean living.

Those are the stereotypes.  Yet the data doesn’t bear that out.  Republicans have grown government and deficits.  They created the Medicare Part D social safety net, and allowed passage of the Patriot Act restricting many freedoms.  Meanwhile, Democrats have cut taxes, stood against teacher’s unions, and pushed agendas like offshore drilling with dire environmental consequences.

It would seem the ideologies are not as rigid as we might imagine.  Rather, the distinction lies in how the two sides view rules.  For Conservatives, rules are all about absolutes.  Something is right or it’s wrong, good or evil, black or white.  All the while Progressives are lost in the gray.  Everything is conditional.

For Conservatives, business regulation is bad, raising taxes are bad, guns are good.  For Progressives, it’s not so much that those values are flipped, but rather there is a level at which they are appropriate.  Business should not be allowed to exploit citizens, taxes should be collected to cover expenses, and guns should be regulated to contain violence.  Yet here is where it gets tricky.

Progressives can’t even agree among themselves where these lines should be, and because of that are unable to walk in lock-step like their counterparts.  Further, the notion that these lines should be left open to future interpretation by activist judges makes Conservatives very nervous.  The result being that Progressives find Conservatives to be overly rigid and dogmatic, while Conservatives find Progressives to be wishy-washy and disorganized.

This dichotomy of worldview is the bright line distinguishing the camps.  It is why the right is so often accused of hypocrisy as it’s hard not to occasionally color outside the bold black lines.  And it’s why the left is so often accused of flip-flopping or compromising as the world they see is so highly conditional.

The ideological divide is not what keeps us apart.  It’s all about how we view the rules.

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A new day dawns

August 10th, 2010 by Tim 3 comments »

I’m starting off on a new writing adventure.  I’m now going to be writing as the Rochester Independent Political Examiner for the examiner.com news site.  Examiner is a news site in its own right, but more importantly is a feed site for many other news outlets and aggregators.  The hope is that this will expose me to a wider audience.  Not that I don’t love and value the audience I have… just think of it more like I’m out looking for new friends for you.

More importantly, this gives me a paid writing gig to put on my resume.  Not that I expect to make much money, just that I want to be able to claim I’m being paid.  Which brings me to another important point.  The pay and the rankings of the articles I write are heavily influenced by reader traffic and subscriptions.  So it would really help prime the pump if my readers here went and clicked around a bit there.

“But,” I can hear you asking, “where is there?”  Well, this is a link to my page at Examiner.  There is an RSS feed and lots of sharing options so if you’re of a mind to share article links or subscribe, all the better.  Fair warning though, I seeded the site with some of the posts already shared on this blog, so anything dated Aug 10th should be old news for you.

For your convenience going forward, links to my new Examiner posts will be pushed to my Twitter and Facebook feeds.  So if you’re following either of those now, you’ll be aware of new articles.  As for this blog, while most of the “Politics” category will now be published on Examiner, I will continue to post other content here that isn’t appropriate for that venue.

Finally, a plea about comments.  Facebook often generates the most comments on my posts.  I don’t want to discourage that, especially for comments with a personal slant.  But for topical comments, it would be great if you posted them directly to the Examiner articles.  I’m hopeful we’ll generate some good discussion over there, and I’d love you all to be a part of that.

I do want to thank those of you who have provided support and encouragement for my writing.  I’m not sure where this is going yet, and it’s just a baby step.  But it’s a start.

Stay tuned…

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The Need to Feel Threatened

August 10th, 2010 by Tim 1 comment »

I’ve believed that most people don’t steal, they don’t kill, and they don’t rape and pillage because at their core they believe it’s wrong.  But a couple of recent comments have caused me to ponder just how much of our world is held together by force.  I don’t mean forces like gravity or the strong nuclear force, but rather the threat of punishment.

A commenter on the recent post contrasting the 2nd and 14th amendments opined, “the 2nd amendment is there to allow citizens to fight off an oppressive government, whether a foreign one or our own. But the most important reason for it ,is to preserve our God given right of self defense..Without the 2nd amendment…all the other ones can be taken away.”  The underlying theme of his comment seems to be that governments only behave because of the constant palpable threat of insurrection by the people.

In a completely different vein, another person opined regarding atheism that he could never himself be an atheist because he felt there would then be no reason not to just get up every morning and do whatever he felt like.  He feared that without the threat of God’s wrath, he’d become a complete hedonist.

In both these cases, the people are ordinary everyday folks.  These are not borderline criminals or people you would otherwise fear.  Yet they both seem to feel it is only the threat of punishment that keeps their world from falling into chaos.

This is causing me to seriously question whether these two guys are an anomaly or whether they actually represent a far greater portion of the population than I might have expected.  If it is only by force that much of this world is held together, then maybe that explains some things.  Perhaps this is the underlying motivation behind those who would seek to impose rigid rules with draconian punishments on the minutiae of our lives.  Whether those rules are religious, political, or just organizational, they are the rope that binds their own worlds from bursting apart, and they wish to assure that no one else operates outside those constraints.

It’s understandable that if you feel that without being strapped to your seat you’d be running amok in the cabin that you would question the motives and actions of anyone not similarly bound.  It’s not that I thought these people didn’t exist, but rather that they existed at the fringes of society, not in its mainstream.  And I’m now coping with the dawning realization this may be a naive view.

The ease with which looting and rioting break out in otherwise civilized cities is perhaps further indication we are not as evolved as I might have hoped.  Maybe we are really just very large children, constrained only by the watchful gaze of a parent figure.  Yearning to be free of that yoke and run wild through the neighborhood.

If true, a sad reality indeed.

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God Reduces Distress for Believers

August 9th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

God BrainA study published in Psychological Science shows actual brain wave evidence that thoughts of God have a calming effect on the brain.  However, this only holds true for those who believe.  And given that some 85% of the planet holds some sort of religious belief, that’s most everyone.

More interesting is that for atheists, the study showed the exact opposite.  Given a stressful situation, thoughts of God actually increased the subject’s anxiety.  The unanswered question is whether this is a cause or effect.

Is it because you don’t believe in God that thoughts of God are stressful, or is it that you don’t believe in God because thoughts of God induce stress.  I’m unaware there is a definitive scientific answer to this question, but personally I believe it’s the latter.

In my life, I came to accept the non-existence of God entirely because the world made a lot more sense to me that way.  The existence of God in this world was extraordinarily confounding.  It wasn’t remotely comforting.  It made me want to confront the deity and yell, “What the hell were you thinking?”  A world without God, governed only by the laws of nature, was much more comforting.  It was simply less stressful.  And so I went there.

Nonetheless, I recognize I am in a minority.  It has always seemed to me, and now this study confirms, that most people find great comfort and solace in God.  Their world’s made more sense to them.  I’ve also always believed that the specific God was less important than there simply being a higher power.  People who are devout Christians in America would doubtless be devout Muslims if only they had been born in Dubai.  The comfort of their religious beliefs on their minds would be the same.

All of this reinforces my firm belief that the so-called new atheists who would opt to convert believers to atheism are on a fool’s mission.  For most people, atheism would be an untenably stressful situation.  Would they adjust?  Maybe to a degree, but I think the brain is somewhat hardwired to believe or not.  Forcing either side to accept the other is a pointless imposition of stress with no net gain.

At some level, people seem to instinctively seek out what they need to make their world make sense.  For most, that’s a belief in God, but for some it’s not.  Proselytizing from either side is not just annoying, but is likely destructive.  Live and let live.  You have to do what works for you.

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The Wheels on the Bus

August 8th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

They go round and frickin’ round!  Paul Stender and his team from Indy Boys Inc. have built a good old fashioned school bus that tops out at 367mph.  Why?  If you have to ask why then you just understand the true nature of men.

The bus sports a jet engine off of a phantom fighter plane and consumes 150 gallons of fuel in just a quarter mile run.  There are frickin’ flames coming out the back.

To put this in perspective, if my kids could ride this bus to school they’d arrive in just under 23 seconds.  That is, assuming you ignored acceleration and deceleration times, stop signs, and well… corners.  Not to mention it would take 1380 gallons of fuel for each trip which I’m sure would have an impact on my school taxes.

But it’s still awesome…

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The Late Great Prop 8

August 7th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

Gay CakeSanity prevailed in Federal Court this week where California’s Prop 8 was shot down as unconstitutional.  This once again makes it possible for same sex couples to marry on the left coast, or at least it will at some point again.  That is unless the Supreme Court opts to overturn the ruling.

What I found most interesting was the rationale behind the ruling.  Essentially the judge declared that under the Equal Protection Clause the state had no vested interest in discriminating against homosexuals.  Therefore, their rights to equal status under the law was the prevailing rule.

First, the Equal Protection Clause is part of the 14th amendment, which is currently under attack from the right for allowing “anchor babies”.  Could it be that the push to repeal the 14th is also a veiled push to remove the Equal Protections Clause?  It’s not clear how sweeping any proposed repeal would be, but should this effort get as far as an actual drafted text, it would be worth more than a passing bit of scrutiny to assure we don’t lose some essential Constitutional protection of our rights and freedoms in the mix.  After all, Conservatives are all about rights and freedoms protected by the Constitution, so there shouldn’t be much of a fight there.

Secondly, if this ruling stands, it strikes me as a potential precedent for striking down other laws infringing personal freedoms.  I’m unsure how broadly this can be interpreted, and there are always arguments about what constitutes a vested interest by the state.  Minimally, it seems antiquated sodomy laws and other intrusions by the state into the lives of consenting adults should be struck down.  But what about something like using marijuana?  The health implications are not worse than the use of alcohol and tobacco, both of which are legal.  Previous claims of pot as a gateway drug have been repeatedly debunked.  It’s not at all clear what the vested interest of the state is in outlawing the drug.

The demise of Prop 8 is worthy of applause in and of itself, and I hope the high court agrees, or at least agrees to ignore it.  After all, comprehensive analysis of the consequences of gay marriage (as depicted in the chart below) seem will within tolerance levels.

Gay Marriage

But I’ll be very curious to see if this is a precedent for future rulings to keep the government contained to its appropriate domain.  This is a victory for true small government advocates.  The Tea Party should be cheering.  They love freedom.

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Poll Dancing

August 6th, 2010 by Tim No comments »

Politicians love to tout how they are just doing the will of the American people.  This is usually backed up by a poll of some sort showing a majority of their constituents are behind whatever it is they are proposing to do.

On the surface this seems to be the very essence of democracy.  Let the people decide.  There’s only one little problem with that… the polls would indicate that people are idiots.  Not all of them mind you.  I’m sure your bubble’s on the level, but there’s a non-trivial number of folks out there leaning more than a few degrees off of plum.

Consider that a recent CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted near to Obama’s birthday showed that only 42% of Americans could say they had no doubts the President was born in this country.  Another 29% went out on a limb and said he probably was born in this country, which still leaves nearly 3 in 10 Americans in doubt of a fact that is about as demonstrably true as it could be.

Obama’s Hawaiian birth is not a matter of opinion.  The documentation exists.  It’s been vetted.  Even the conservative Republican governor of the state vouches for its authenticity.  Doubting Obama is a natural born citizen is about as rational as claiming we faked the moon landings.  Yet the idea persists and has even grown larger to the point where a majority of us have at least some doubt.

Now consider, these are the same people being polled on complex and abstruse issues like how to salvage the economy, how to handle Afghanistan, how to reign in health care costs, and how to manage our energy policy.  These are same people to whom politicians are listening in order to make decisions about our future.

This would be like having a friend who insisted smoking improved his health and then seeking his counsel on how to manage your IRA.  If he’s delusional about the straightforward stuff, why would you trust his opinion on something complicated and important?

We live in a representative democracy for a reason.  True democracy, where everyone gets to vote on everything, is simply insane.  It assumes everyone has an equally valuable opinion.  They don’t.  I don’t ask my dentist for advice on auto insurance for the same reason I don’t care if my neighbor supports supply-side economics.  I want advice from people who know what they are doing.

The way our form of government is supposed to work is that we elect people to represent our interests.  That doesn’t mean they vote just as you would have if you were there.  It means they enact policy that is ultimately a net benefit to their constituents.  At the end of their term they are graded on the results.  Good performance is rewarded with another term, bad performers go home.

However, our current system of 24-hour news, video archives, and incessant polling has resulted in politics having become an unrelenting popularity contest.  The campaign never ends.  No one works for long term net gain.  Everyone is just trying to survive the next news cycle.  Witness the recent defeat of the 9/11 healthcare bill in the House.  Democrats allowed the popular bill to die rather than risk having to vote on Republican amendments they expected the GOP to offer simply as fodder to embarrass them during the 2010 elections.

The perpetual campaign has also enabled the corporate takeover of politicians.  They need the money to keep the campaign going, and deep corporate pockets are bigger cash fire hoses than individual $25 donations.

The solution is not at all clear.  Less transparency in government would mean less news and less polling, but would be hard to defend as a step forward and would likely usher in more corruption than it cured.  It seems the rational solution has to lie somewhere in the realm of politicians who need not sweat reelection.  Politicians free to act in our best long-term interest without fear of repercussion.

Might this be accomplished with term limits?  Perhaps.  But that only really frees up the politician once he’s in office on his last term.  Further, term limits eliminate the notion of senior politicians with lots of experience.  In some cases, that experience could be a good thing.  Maybe it’s something more like indefinite terms.  Let’s say a Congressman is elected to serve a minimum of two years, but will serve indefinitely until his constituents force him out with a vote of “no confidence”.  Then his term ends on the next election day and he can’t run again.

There are likely better ideas, but the key point being that we need to break out of the popularity contest model.  That was annoying enough when it was used in high school for the student council.  The stakes are much higher in this case, and politicians need the freedom to act long term rather than be puppets dancing on strings held by people who think the sky is green.

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